XRP is trading in the $1.40 range, as on-chain data paints a picture that looks worse than the news headlines are saying. New daily addresses on the XRP Ledger have collapsed by over 80% from 18,000 in December 2024 to just 2,700. Yet institutions are quietly settling tokenized assets on public blockchains in real time.
According to Glassnode data, monthly active supply dropped more than 70% from 7.45 billion XRP to roughly 2 billion XRP. Exchange reserves simultaneously hit historic lows at 12.9 billion XRP, suggesting holders are moving coins to self-custody and not to sell.
Whales have also accumulated 110 million tokens through March, even as retail participation faded. “The network is shifting from retail speculation only to institutional rails,” RedStone co-founder Marcin Kazmierczak notes. “That transition rarely looks pretty in the address chart.”
With institutional XRP interest accelerating, the market is sending mixed signals.
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Can XRP Price Recover to $1.50 With Institutional News?
XRP stabilized between $1.38 and $1.42 over the past 48 hours after a bounce from $1.38 to a high of $1.45. The volume surge is the only genuinely bullish data point on the board right now. Everything else is neutral-to-soft.
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, and CCI are all sitting at neutral readings. Analysts note that “thin participation means rebounds lack follow-through,” which is precisely the problem when network payments risk falling below the 500 million threshold that has historically anchored baseline demand.
Right now, resistance still sits at $1.45; XRP has been grinding against that top without a clean break.
The volume spike is encouraging, but sustained spot demand is what confirms institutional accumulation is absorbing sell pressure.
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XRP’s current setup offers limited asymmetric upside at a $80B+ market cap. For XRP, a clean double requires institutional inflows at scale that may take years, not weeks. Traders hunting for higher-beta exposure are rotating attention toward earlier-stage infrastructure plays where the entry price hasn’t already priced in the thesis.
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